Wednesday and Thursday give us a chance to take a breather before the second half of the MLB season begins.
Now is the perfect time to take a look at the list of odds to win each award this season. One of those awards is the American League Cy Young. We still have a half season to go but it's already Tarik Skubal's award to lose. The Tigers pitcher is the odds-on favorite. Can anyone catch him?
Let's find out what the oddsmakers think.
2024 American League Cy Young Odds
Tarik Skubal -130Corbin Burnes +300Logan Gilbert +1000Seth Lugo +1800Garrett Crochet +2500Tanner Houck +2500Luis Castillo +3500Cole Ragans +3500Jack Flaherty +3500George Kirby +5500Joe Ryan +8000Grayson Rodriguez +10000Tarik Skubal Set at Odds-On Favorite
Skubal is set as the -130 favorite to win the AL Cy Young, which translates to an implied probability of 56.52%. He leads the American League in ERA at 2.41 while ranking second in WHIP in 0.88. He also leads the league in WAR amongst pitchers at 4.4.
The next pitcher on the odds list is Corbin Burnes of the Baltimore Orioles, who comes in at +300. He's second in the AL in ERA behind Skuball at 2.43 but he ranks significantly behind him in both WHIP (1.04) and WAR (2.9).
The other two golfers with a realistic shot of making a run at the Cy Young in the second half of the season is Logan Gilbert (2.79 ERA) and Seth Lugo (2.48 ERA).
Logan Gilbert is a Solid Dark Horse Option
Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners may be behind Skubal in ERA at 2.79, but he leads all starts in MLB in WHIP at 0.87, a touch above Skubal.
He's a solid bet at 10-1 odds if you want a longshot wager, but he'll likely need to rack up some more wins if he needs to do it. Despite his strong analytics, his record sits at just 6-5 compared to Skubal who has an impressive 10-3 record on a lowly Tigers squad.
Gilbert may be worth a bet at his current price tag, but it's still Skubal's award to lose.
